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THIS
IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY
BE UPDATED.
ANDRIA
HALL, CNN ANCHOR: Joining us now to discuss the prospects for the
summit talks between the Israelis and Palestinians are Jonathan
Paris with the Council on Foreign Relations, and Raghida Dergham,
she is a senior diplomatic correspondent for the London-based "Al
Hayat" newspaper. Both join us from New York.
Mr.
Paris, I'll start with you, as all leaders head into these delicate
and sensitive talks, Ehud Barak's government is teetering. How can
Mr. Barak negotiate from a position of strength and confidence when
back home he's standing on shaky ground?
JONATHAN PARIS, COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS: Not a problem for Ehud
Barak. Ehud Barak has a real sense of history. You know, he's a
pianist, and he's coming to give a piano concerto. He is going to
give the performance of his life at the Carnegie Hall of
Arab-Israeli peacemaking, Camp David. He doesn't need David Levy
with him. He doesn't need Natan Sharansky with him.
He
needs a few good aides, a few good lawyers, maybe a bad cop to play
off his being the good cop at the negotiation. But he's going to be
very creative, imaginative, very aggressive and assertive for the
next eight days or less.
HALL: Ms. Dergham, some believe that this summit at Camp David is
simply a step in the process, and others say, as you heard in our
Kelly Wallace piece, that this is really a last chance. How do you
view it?
RAGHIDA DERGHAM, SR. DIPLOMATIC CORRESPONDENT, "AL-HAYAT": Well, if
it's the last chance, then it should be a very fair conclusion of
the summit, and both parties, the Israelis and the Palestinians
should be able to arrive at the details that will make it final. I
am not so sure I would agree that can be done in Camp David, or
maybe there will be Camp David II, one in August maybe.
But
the Palestinians are worried that if you say, this is the final
chance, and Mr. Barak is coming -- looking as if he's coming with
concessions from his point of view, but not so from the Palestinian
point of view, they're afraid that they're going to be squeezed and
therefore they'll go back home with a deal that might not be
acceptable.
After all, there is a public opinion amongst the Palestinians and in
the Arab world that Mr. Arafat has to go back with something to say,
yes, this is a good final status agreement.
HALL: In fact, both Mr. Barak and Mr. Arafat are dealing with their
own pressures regarding these talks and certainly for different
reasons. Can you spell out those reasons for us, Mr. Paris?
PARIS: The reasons for what again?
HALL: The pressure that each are feeling back at home.
PARIS: Well, look, I think Barak really understands that the time is
now to make an agreement. His coalition is falling apart clearly.
But more importantly, he recognizes that his counterpart, Arafat, is
not going to be around forever. The man is -- was a leader back in
the '60s. And Arafat is the one adversary who can deliver a peace
agreement for the Palestinian people. So I think the time is right.
Also, both recognize that Clinton, who has invested enormous time
and energy with them, is not going to be around beyond six more
months. So they really need each other now. And I think they're
going to try very hard to seriously engage each other so that they
can come up with a framework agreement that will eventually lead to
a conflict-ending agreement by, say, the end of the year.
HALL: And, Ms. Dergham, just a last question to you, how realistic
is the September deadline? And if it is not reached, what will the
response likely be not just of these two men, but of the Palestinian
and the Israeli people?
DERGHAM: Well, President Clinton was right about warning that the
possibilities -- God forbid, I would hope that this is a success --
but that if there is a collapse of such talks there would be
turmoil, there would be violence.
The
Palestinians probably are -- have less to lose because they've been
living in a state of refugees, in a state of occupation, and they've
been pinning lots of hopes on this process, the so-called Oslo
process, that they would have hoped by September would have given
them the final status, their own state, a fair deal.
I
think it's, at the moment, causing both Mr. Barak and Mr. Arafat,
but most of all Mr. Barak to take the courageous lead and not be
involved in the politicking. Jonathan Paris is right, that he can
really go the distance should he choose to, and I think there is a
lot of demand on the public opinion, particularly the Israeli public
opinion, to support its leader in choosing to make peace with the
Palestinians. After all, they live with each other, so they should
live peacefully, hopefully.
PARIS: Absolutely, I agree.
HALL: Raghida Dergham and Jonathan Paris -- well, the two of you
agree on something, let's hope that the two men can agree on
Tuesday, at least beginning on Tuesday.
PARIS: I hope. HALL: We thank you for joining us, both of you.
DERGHAM: Thank you.
PARIS: Thank you, Andria.
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