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Recent estimates place the cost of the ‘war on terror’ to
the United States at $335 Billion USD, but monetary value was not the
key measure for panelists assessing the cost of the conflict to the
Arab and Muslim people, in the third day opening session at Arab
Strategy Forum, which ran till the 6th December in Dubai.
Resolving outstanding issues such as the Israel-Palestine
conflict and finding a sensible solution to the deteriorating war in
Iraq figured prominently throughout the discussion, moderated by
Raghida Dergham, Columnist and Senior Diplomatic Correspondent, Al
Hayat, USA.
The general consensus among the 400-plus attendees, as
reflected in the question period, was the US’s unilateral policy had
caused the current situation in Iraq and that it was up to the US to
resolve it – “you broke it, you fix it,” said one leading Arab
journalist.
Measuring the progress – or lack thereof – of the war on
terror, Peter Bergen, Terrorism Analyst, CNN, USA, stated: “‘Jihad
terrorism’ witnessed a 659% leap in global terrorism since the Iraq
war, 482% in terror attacks in the Arab world and an exponential rise
of suicide attacks in Afghanistan”, quoting figures from US-based RAND
Corporation.
Mainstream discussions on terrorism seldom construct the
appropriate context, allowing seasoned analysis and policy
prescriptions.
On that issue, Rami G. Khouri, Editor-at-Large, The Daily Star,
Lebanon, explained: “Terrorism emerged out of a historical process and
not a vacuum. Unfortunately, there is no serious discussion on US
policy and its relationship with Israel, and its impact on the cycle
of violence in the region.”
Is the war on terror winnable and, if so, how can it be won?
Wesley Clark, Former NATO Commander, USA, suggested Dayton-like
shuttle diplomacy throughout the region: “The war on terror should be
fought with ideas – military force should always be a measure of last
resort.” The former general called for “two-way information flow” to
“re-educate the US public” on the issues and realities in the Middle
East: “There is a lot of talk in Washington DC about the Middle East
but very little listening.”
Khouri echoed Clark’s sentiment: “There has been a terrible
lack in shared analysis and putting our heads together – there needs
to be an integrated and complete view on issues.” He referred to the
current debate on terrorism in the US and Europe as “intellectual
hooliganism”, which he explained as people with limited understanding
of the region, its people and issues promoted as “terrorism experts”.
Marwan Al-Muasher, Member of the Senate, Jordan, focused on the
responsibility of Arabs in the war on terror and their role of
rectifying the situation, urging Arabs to take a “principled stand
against the use of violence and the targeting of civilians.” Failure
to do so, he continued, is a “disintegration of our value system - we
need to address this if we want to move forward.”
Robert Malley, Director, Middle East and North Africa Program,
International Crisis Group, Washington, D.C, placed the onus at the
doorsteps of both the Arab governments and the US Administration.
Regarding the former, Malley said: “The US is not engaging in serious
dialogue with Arab governments because what they say in private to the
US Administration is not consistent with what they tell their people.”
Turning his attention to the US, he stated: “We need to address the
political issues and not exclude them from the process – when an issue
is framed in military terms; you neglect politics and cause a
strategic vacuum.”
In a similar vein, Al-Muasher argued that terrorism is being
“compartmentalized”, disconnected from the fundamental issues like
Palestine-Israel conflict – the US, he suggested, needs to recognize
the centrality of these issues.
The ASF, held under the patronage of H.H Sheikh Mohammed bin
Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice President and Prime Minister of the UAE and
Ruler of Dubai, has attracted more than 600 distinguished participants
and 115 worldwide speakers, and is a vehicle for change and a key
driver in the reform and policy shaping of governmental and business
organizations throughout the Arab world.
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